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Weekly Snack #3
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Weekly Snack #3

New Equity Idea Generation, Twitter Posts, and General Reasearch of the Week

Sep 24, 2023
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Weekly Snack #3
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Welcome to Weekly Snacks! This newsletter is home to a weekly compilation of new investment ideas, Twitter posts/threads, and general research to help all investors generate ideas that they may have otherwise not been exposed to.

If you find our posts helpful, please click the subscribe button below (it’s free), and if you yourself have an idea you’d like to share with us to possibly be featured, comment below.


Investment Pitches

ToffCap
Mongolia Growth Group
I admit this is an odd one for me. I normally have a strong bias against investing in funds or similar vehicles. As a professional stock picker, why should I hand over money to someone who does the same work as I do, particularly if I believe that I can do better. Most fund managers nowadays are not in a position (anymore) to beat the market and / or ar…
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2 years ago · 14 likes · 1 comment · ToffCap

TL;DR:

This is a rather interesting one because it’s not one that I’ve personally ever read anywhere. The author talks about a notable HF manager on Twitter named Kuppy (I follow him) and how he created an investment vehicle in Mongolia (Mongolia Growth Group) to capitalize on one of the rising asian countries. Long story short, changes in the country led investments to be not as easy going. However, the fund (MCG) is an interesting play because it’s trading under NAV and there are a few ways for investors to make money while taking some exposure. Have a read above, it’s not long.

Overlooked Alpha
Research Notes: Chewy Goes To The Dogs
Highlights: CHWY has been halved in a little over two months. But the catalyst seems to be a change in market perception, rather than new information from the business. A long-term track record of growth, and impressive market share gains, suggest the sell-off creates an opportunity to own a quality business…
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2 years ago · 5 likes · Vince Martin

TL;DR:

The author suggests that Chewy (CHWY) is a fundamentally good business but is dealing with macroeconomic pressures and changes in consumer perception are affecting the dog industry. The company has greatly expanded it’s margins and growth since going public but the market is punishing it based on a dissapointing full-year outlook. The company is also facing churn risks, stock-based compensation payouts, and lack of operating leverage. This is one for if you believe the market is pricing it appropriately.

Tech Investments
Problems for Adyen and Paypal in the competitive payments landscape
A bird-eye’s view of the payments industry The payment ecosystem has become a rather complicated value chain with the move to digital payments. In prehistoric times, when payments were made in cash, the federal reserve would issue notes which could easily be used in transactions with immediate settlement. In the world of digital payments however, the key…
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2 years ago · 19 likes · 35 comments · Tech Fund

TL;DR:

Fair warning, this is a very long read but really hits home all the points when talking about Adyen (ADYEY) and Paypal (PYPL). The author goes into great detail about the companies financial health, their ability to generate FCF and what growth means for each company. Granted, PYPL has slowed down significantly while ADYEY still has double digit growth but the market has clearly punished it. Author makes a comment about how investors think PYPL could be META 2022 but highlights why that’s not the case. ADYEY has substantial room for growth but admits that we’re still in a highly competitive environment.

Turning Over Rocks
Sankyo Ltd - The best bet on a pachinko revival
Image Source: Wikimedia Commons Summary Sankyo is a Tokyo-listed maker of Japanese gaming machines with a market cap of around $2.6 bn. It trades at just 1.5x forward EV/EBITDA and has 70% of its market cap in cash and short-term investments. The company has been consistently profitable, generating positive free cash flow in each of the past 20 years — ev…
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2 years ago · 7 likes · 3 comments · Turning over Rocks

TL;DR:

The author talks about Sankyo (DSNKY), a Tokyo listed maker of gaming machines. While Japan has gotten quite a bad wrap over the years, the author points out that the company has been consistenly profitbable over the last 20 years, each year. The market cap is made up of ~70% cash and ST investments while trading at a measly 1.5x EV/EBITDA. In the pitch, while industry forces seem to be working against the broader industry, the author highlights what Sankyo is doing differently to moderinize itself and boost growth again for the new gaming age.


Tweets of the Week

Twitter.
Twitter.
Twitter.
Twitter.
Twitter.
Twitter.

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General Research

Asian Century Stocks
Introduction to the global wristwatch market
Disclaimer: Asian Century Stocks uses information sources believed to be reliable, but their accuracy cannot be guaranteed. The information contained in this publication is not intended to constitute individual investment advice and is not designed to meet your personal financial situation. The opinions expressed in such publications are those of the publisher and are subject to change without notice. You are advised to discuss your investment options with your financial advisers. Consult your financial adviser to understand whether any investment is suitable for your specific needs. I may, from time to time, have positions in the securities covered in the articles on this website. This is not a recommendation to buy or sell stocks…
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2 years ago · 27 likes · 13 comments · Michael Fritzell
Flyover Stocks
Buffett's Aim Small, Miss Small Approach
At the 2022 Graham & Dodd Annual Breakfast, Berkshire Hathaway investment manager Todd Combs shared the following story about what he and Warren Buffett ask each other when looking for investment ideas: “How many names in the S&P are going to be 15x earnings in the next 12 months? How many are going to earn more in five years (using a 90% confidence inte…
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2 years ago · 24 likes · 2 comments · Todd Wenning
SuperJoost Playlist
Deep dive on Xbox leak
The SuperJoost Playlist is a weekly take on gaming, tech, and entertainment by business professor and author, Joost van Dreunen…
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2 years ago · 16 likes · 2 comments · SuperJoost
Edelweiss Capital Research
The Luxury business: Part II
In a world enamored with labels, the term "luxury" has become something of a catch-all, indiscriminately applied to anything that's expensive or has a glossy sheen. However, the real essence of luxury extends far beyond mere cost or aesthetics; it manifests in the nuance of craftsmanship, the allure of exclusivity, and the longevity of brand appeal. Tap…
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2 years ago · 25 likes · 2 comments · Edelweiss Capital
How They Make Money
☁️ 7 Traits To Watch in Cloud Stocks
Greetings from San Francisco! 👋🏼 A warm welcome to the recent additions to our community! Over 55,000 How They Make Money subscribers turn to us weekly for business and investment insights. Glad you're here…
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2 years ago · 16 likes · App Economy Insights

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Until next week,

Paul Cerro

Weekly Snacks Twitter: @weeklysnacks
Personal Twitter: @paulcerro
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Disclaimer: All information provided herein by Weekly Snacks, LLC (“Weekly Snacks”) is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice or an offer or solicitation to buy or sell an interest in a private fund or any other security.
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